عنوان مقاله English
نویسندگان English
The emergence of new cities can be attributed to the significant increase in the population of urban areas. Over the past two decades, numerous new cities have been established in proximity to the country's metropolises, with the new city of Sahand serving as a pertinent example. The primary objective of this research is to elucidate the physical development trajectory of Sahand, utilizing Landsat satellite imagery spanning the statistical period from 1373 to 1401. To this end, satellite images corresponding to four distinct statistical periods (1373, 1383, 1393, and 1401) were acquired from the Landsat 5 and Landsat 8 satellites. By applying a band calculation function to the images captured by the Thematic Mapper (TM) and Operational Land Imager (OLI) sensors, the physical changes in the urban fabric of Sahand during the specified temporal intervals were quantified and analyzed. The findings of this research indicate that the physical growth and development of Sahand commenced in 2013, at which point the urban area encompassed 282 hectares, representing a 28-fold increase since that year. In the subsequent decade, the urban area expanded to 570 hectares, reflecting a 100% growth relative to the previous decade. Ultimately, during the final decade under review, the urban area reached 850 hectares, exhibiting a growth rate of 50%. Notably, District 6 of Sahand, which constitutes approximately 35% of the city's physical fabric, emerged as one of the fastest-growing regions between the years 1393 and 1400. Moreover, a statistically significant correlation was identified between population growth and the physical development of Sahand during the statistical period from 1380 to 1400, with a confidence level of 0.95 (P_value=0.05) and a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.91. Consequently, the regression model fitted to the relationship between population growth and urban fabric expansion, when incorporating the projected population density following the implementation of Mehr housing policies (which anticipates a population of 185,000), suggests that the area of Sahand's physical fabric will increase to 1,181 hectares in the forthcoming decade, indicating a growth rate of 38%.
کلیدواژهها English
