Applied Research in Geographical Sciences

Applied Research in Geographical Sciences

Investigating changes in temperature and precipitation trends and their effect on the discharge of Karun's tributaries

Articles in Press
Authors
mohammad radman 1
mohammad saligheh 2
mohammad hossein naserzadeh 2
1 PhD student of Climatology, Kharazmi University, Tehran, Iran
2 Professor of Climatology, Department of Geography, Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Khwarazmi University, Tehran, Iran
Abstract
In order to comprehend the water flow characteristics and variations of the Karun River, we examined the Zaz, Bazoft, and Beshar sub-basins from its main branches. The reason for choosing these basins was the proximity to the catchment centers of the Middle Zagros and their location upstream of the dams.

Iran Water Resources Management Company provided all the required data (from the water year

1356-57 to 1395-96), and we analyzed them using Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests, data skewness, skewness, and Pearson correlation. Then, we performed the linear regression test to determine the effect of temperature and precipitation on river discharge, and they conducted the Mann-Kendall test to identify the trend and jump points. The results of the data analysis showed that all of them are in normal conditions, although they have some elongation and skewness. The Pearson correlation test revealed a correlation between meteorological and hydrometric data.

The regression model used shows the changes in precipitation and discharge (unlike temperature and discharge) well. The significance number of all stations in the model is less than 0.05, which shows that the changes that occurred between predictor and dependent variables are significant. We see the high performance of the model in explaining the changes in discharge compared to precipitation. According to the regression charts, the decreasing trend of precipitation and discharge and increasing temperature are clear in all three basins.

The Mann-Kendall test reveals a significant trend of increasing temperature in Bazeft and Bashar basins, a decreasing trend of discharge in Bazeft and Bashar basins, and a decreasing trend of precipitation in Zaz and Bazoft basins.except for the temperature of the Zaz basin, all variables show mutations in mutation basins.
Keywords
Big Karon
process
Linear regression
Mann-Kendall
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Applied Research in Geographical Sciences

Articles in Press, Accepted Manuscript
Available Online from 21 March 2007